Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.033822 0.039648 0.046078 0.053685 0.062426 0.072141 0.083741
2025-04-20 0.025965 0.033751 0.043160 0.055310 0.070518 0.088857 0.112569
2025-04-27 0.020609 0.029356 0.040804 0.056747 0.078213 0.105932 0.144219
2025-05-04 0.015794 0.024483 0.036716 0.054956 0.081167 0.117119 0.169718
2025-05-11 0.012639 0.021161 0.033975 0.054284 0.085192 0.129877 0.198584
2025-05-18 0.010052 0.018096 0.030962 0.052537 0.087146 0.139628 0.224014
2025-05-25 0.008186 0.015773 0.028623 0.051319 0.089511 0.149975 0.251169
2025-06-01 0.006969 0.014294 0.027367 0.051569 0.094082 0.164021 0.285288
2025-06-08 0.005765 0.012579 0.025382 0.050196 0.095636 0.173191 0.312283
2025-06-15 0.005274 0.012138 0.025616 0.052776 0.104287 0.194959 0.362220
2025-06-22 0.004569 0.011113 0.024559 0.052752 0.108158 0.208764 0.399659
2025-06-29 0.003841 0.009882 0.022876 0.051235 0.108976 0.217106 0.428069
2025-07-06 0.003256 0.008866 0.021503 0.050202 0.110723 0.227547 0.461766
2025-07-13 0.003025 0.008649 0.021823 0.052770 0.119986 0.253066 0.525998
2025-07-20 0.002774 0.008325 0.021850 0.054698 0.128150 0.277234 0.589833
2025-07-27 0.002353 0.007461 0.020464 0.053243 0.128937 0.286835 0.626052
2025-08-03 0.002046 0.006837 0.019548 0.052729 0.131688 0.300632 0.671808
2025-08-10 0.001733 0.006116 0.018253 0.051099 0.131696 0.308660 0.706401
2025-08-17 0.001487 0.005535 0.017219 0.049945 0.132638 0.318711 0.746008
2025-08-24 0.001329 0.005191 0.016765 0.050207 0.136956 0.336475 0.803483
2025-08-31 0.001139 0.004688 0.015769 0.048877 0.137205 0.345148 0.841849
2025-09-07 0.001088 0.004660 0.016161 0.051399 0.147411 0.377403 0.935110
2025-09-14 0.000970 0.004360 0.015674 0.051379 0.151078 0.394780 0.996142